Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.000768 0.000822 0.000879 0.000944 0.001015 0.001091 0.001180
2026-01-11 0.000681 0.000755 0.000835 0.000931 0.001043 0.001169 0.001324
2026-01-18 0.000627 0.000712 0.000808 0.000926 0.001069 0.001239 0.001458
2026-01-25 0.000670 0.000781 0.000911 0.001078 0.001290 0.001554 0.001915
2026-02-01 0.000615 0.000727 0.000862 0.001039 0.001270 0.001566 0.001986
2026-02-08 0.000573 0.000685 0.000824 0.001010 0.001258 0.001586 0.002066
2026-02-15 0.000543 0.000658 0.000801 0.000998 0.001266 0.001630 0.002180
2026-02-22 0.000512 0.000626 0.000771 0.000973 0.001254 0.001645 0.002252
2026-03-01 0.000480 0.000592 0.000735 0.000938 0.001225 0.001631 0.002279
2026-03-08 0.000459 0.000571 0.000717 0.000926 0.001227 0.001662 0.002375
2026-03-15 0.000439 0.000550 0.000697 0.000909 0.001220 0.001679 0.002449
2026-03-22 0.000409 0.000516 0.000656 0.000862 0.001166 0.001620 0.002396
2026-03-29 0.000384 0.000488 0.000626 0.000831 0.001140 0.001611 0.002437
2026-04-05 0.000367 0.000470 0.000610 0.000821 0.001144 0.001649 0.002563
2026-04-12 0.000354 0.000457 0.000599 0.000817 0.001157 0.001702 0.002723
2026-04-19 0.000381 0.000502 0.000673 0.000944 0.001388 0.002143 0.003677
2026-04-26 0.000360 0.000477 0.000644 0.000911 0.001355 0.002122 0.003722
2026-05-03 0.000343 0.000457 0.000622 0.000887 0.001335 0.002123 0.003812
2026-05-10 0.000331 0.000444 0.000608 0.000877 0.001337 0.002165 0.003996
2026-05-17 0.000317 0.000428 0.000589 0.000856 0.001319 0.002168 0.004094
2026-05-24 0.000302 0.000408 0.000565 0.000826 0.001284 0.002134 0.004100
2026-05-31 0.000292 0.000397 0.000553 0.000816 0.001283 0.002166 0.004270
2026-06-07 0.000282 0.000385 0.000540 0.000802 0.001273 0.002180 0.004396